Our FutureFirst™ service gives you 24/7 access to Superforecaster insights on dozens of newsworthy questions.
With a subscription to FutureFirst you have access to dozens of daily updated forecasts
plus qualitative analysis by Good Judgment Inc’s Professional Superforecasters.
Good Judgment’s global network of Superforecasters has its roots in research funded by the US intelligence community. The Good Judgment Project—led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers at the University of Pennsylvania—emerged as the undisputed victor of the geopolitical forecasting competition. Reports that Superforecasters were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts with access to classified information rocked the conventional wisdom. Tetlock and Mellers co-founded Good Judgment Inc to provide forecasting services to partners and clients in the non-profit, government, and private sectors.
That question made Superforecasting required reading from Wall Street to 10 Downing Street. Read more >>
See our Case Studies for additional examples of organizations using Superforecasting to solve their toughest forecasting problems and make better decisions.
The New York Times (February 2026)
While exploring prediction markets, professional economists, and the future of forecasting, this NYT article says, “It may also be true that neither individual experts nor a collective of thousands are the best at predicting the future. Over the past decade, a group called Good Judgment has developed a model of selecting people with good track records of figuring out what will happen.”
Our CEO Dr. Warren Hatch discusses why Superforecasters have an edge when the data is sparse and the environment is in flux.
The World Ahead 2026, The Economist (November 2025)
Following another successful collaboration last year, Good Judgment’s Superforecasters were invited to contribute their forecasts to The Economist’s forward-looking guide, The World Ahead 2026. Their forecasts focus on the chance of an in-orbit fuel transfer between two Starship vehicles, the likely balance of power after the US midterms, US tariffs, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and even a Nobel Peace Prize winner.
Financial Times (October 2025) (*requires access to Monetary Policy Radar)
“Superforecasters have continued to beat the market so far this year when it comes to anticipating Fed decisions, as they had also in 2023 and 2024,” writes Financial Times data journalist Joel Suss for FT’s exclusive Monetary Policy Radar service.
“At the FT’s Monetary Policy Radar, we’ve been continuously tracking how superforecasters stack up against financial markets when it comes to anticipating central bank interest rate decisions. We last crunched the numbers at the beginning of this year, concluding that superforecasters continued to have the edge over the futures market in anticipating what the FOMC will do. Looking at the data since January, it is clear that the superforecasters continue to beat the market.”
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